Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.447911 0.495761 0.547227 0.606806 0.674010 0.747620 0.834554
2025-06-01 0.374834 0.441766 0.519170 0.615775 0.733767 0.874022 1.054589
2025-06-08 0.326979 0.401592 0.492124 0.610987 0.764304 0.957259 1.221424
2025-06-15 0.296656 0.376657 0.477577 0.615708 0.802145 1.048350 1.403631
2025-06-22 0.267595 0.349178 0.455462 0.606085 0.817325 1.108003 1.547025
2025-06-29 0.244995 0.327454 0.437971 0.599515 0.834004 1.168939 1.696417
2025-07-06 0.219954 0.299939 0.409722 0.574446 0.820664 1.183815 1.776900
2025-07-13 0.208482 0.290155 0.405015 0.582056 0.854851 1.270919 1.977010
2025-07-20 0.198182 0.281055 0.400253 0.588642 0.887320 1.357547 2.185359
2025-07-27 0.189015 0.272794 0.395854 0.594990 0.919357 1.445739 2.405783
2025-08-03 0.179938 0.263923 0.389710 0.597774 0.945376 1.525831 2.620784
2025-08-10 0.172476 0.256928 0.385801 0.603547 0.976401 1.616730 2.865576
2025-08-17 0.161022 0.243163 0.370600 0.590020 0.974110 1.650594 3.010485
2025-08-24 0.155143 0.237836 0.368495 0.598227 1.010393 1.757225 3.310973
2025-08-31 0.147213 0.228661 0.359424 0.593615 1.023029 1.821029 3.533213
2025-09-07 0.141719 0.223084 0.355857 0.598181 1.052583 1.919440 3.840293
2025-09-14 0.134148 0.213587 0.345037 0.588873 1.055069 1.964938 4.038931
2025-09-21 0.127688 0.205579 0.336240 0.582518 1.062501 2.020761 4.267828
2025-09-28 0.118736 0.192835 0.318470 0.558266 1.032734 1.997161 4.310387
2025-10-05 0.115508 0.189796 0.317574 0.565629 1.066611 2.110198 4.692229
2025-10-12 0.112324 0.186641 0.316247 0.572001 1.098914 2.223094 5.090810
2025-10-19 0.109293 0.183582 0.314884 0.578142 1.131178 2.339194 5.515579
2025-10-26 0.105953 0.179781 0.311914 0.580835 1.156254 2.441594 5.920816